Tech News
Fed keeps interest rates steady after a stock market sell-off and a brewing trade war

- The Fed left interest rates unchanged at its Wednesday policy meeting. As expected, the Fed reiterated it was in no rush to change monetary policy, instead preferring to wait to determine how fiscal policy would affect the economy. Since President Donald Trump took office two months ago, properly forecasting the U.S. economy has become more difficult given recent trade policies.
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the second time this year.
After Wednesday’s meeting, the interest rates remain between 4.25% and 4.5%. Investors and economists had largely anticipated the Fed would hold off on any changes to monetary policy.
However, the Fed acknowledged a cloudy economic picture up ahead, which had spread anxiety throughout the market. Stocks plummeted earlier this month and executives on earnings call regularly cited murky outlooks and declining consumer confidence as possible headwinds.
“Uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased,” the Federal Open Markets Committee said in a statement after the decision was announced. “The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate,” of stable prices and a maximum employment.
The Fed plans to wait before making any further moves because the economy was on solid footing at the moment, and because it was unsure what effect fiscal and trade policies would have on its future. Essentially, the economy’s current strength is buying the Fed time as it tries to decide the proper course of action based on the impact the Trump administration’s policies could have on the economy.
During his first two months back in office, President Donald Trump has already started to make good on his campaign pledges to institute widespread tariffs on the U.S.’s trading partners. Many of Trump’s early tariff policies risk upending global trade, though, by cutting off the free market’s flow of goods from one country to the other. The unprecedented nature of some of these proposals markets has thrust considerable uncertainty into economic outlooks, including at the Fed. Further fueling the uncertainty is that Trump has gone back and forth on his policies. Twice already he has implemented and reversed a series of tariffs against Mexico and Canada.
All that has made it difficult for investors to assess where the economy is headed. Ahead of the meeting, investors worried that even the Federal Reserve would have doubts about its own economic forecasts.
“The Fed may issue signals of no-confidence,” Macquarie rates strategist Thierry Wizman wrote in an analyst note ahead of the meeting.
Commentary accompanying Wednesday’s interest-rate decision did not necessarily assuage those concerns, as the Fed didn’t offer forecasts about the economy.
The U.S. economy remains relatively sound at the moment. The unemployment rate in February was 4.1%, 10 basis points higher than in January. Inflation, too, remains stable at 2.8%, but still above the Fed’s 2% target. These factors give the Fed enough room to maneuver as it waits to see what happens next.
“The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, and labor market conditions remain solid,” the FOMC said in its statement. “Inflation remains somewhat elevated.”
There have been some early signals the U.S. economy could be bending. In February, the U.S. economy added 150,000 jobs, which, while hardly the mass layoffs that precede a recession, was less than the 170,000 jobs economists expected. There was also an uptick in layoffs that could presage a deeper slackening of the labor market. At the same time, over the last year the last mile of inflation has proven stubborn. That problem could only worsen in the coming months as the Trump administration’s hardline tariff and immigration policies are widely expected to be inflationary. But again, investors are grappling with the fact they have little understanding of how these policies will impact the economy, or if they’ll even go into effect at all.
“This uncertainty and negativity would normally give the Fed enough fuel to cut interest rates,” Eric Diton, president and managing director of investment firm The Wealth Alliance, told Fortune ahead of the Fed’s meeting. “But, as noted above, there is too much uncertainty at this time for the Fed to act.
That unusual and precarious nature of that economic backdrop was not lost on the FOMC, which continued to reiterate the Fed would act in whatever way was necessary moving forward.
“The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee’s goals,” the statement read.
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
Tech News
Finland is the world’s happiest country yet again. Here are the top 10 on the list

It’s a good day to be a Finn—again.
For the 8th successive year, Finland ranks no.1 on the annual World Happiness Report. The report, published on the UN’s International Day of Happiness, is based on analysis of how the residents of over 140 countries rate their quality of life. With 10 meaning someone is currently living the best possible life they can imagine, Finns came in first with an average score of 7.74.
“They’re wealthy, they’re healthy, have social connections, social support, [and] a connection with nature,” Jan-Emmanuel De Neve, professor of economics at the University of Oxford, leader of the Wellbeing Research Center and editor of The World Happiness Report, tells Fortune. “They’re not happy, joyful, dancing in the streets type people, but they’re very content with their lives.”
Finland was followed by Denmark (no.2), Iceland (no.3), Sweden (no.4), and the Netherlands (no.5). While Mexico (no.10) and Costa Rica (no.6) joined the top 10 for the first time in the list’s history, the U.S. dropped to its lowest ranking at no. 24. Last year, the U.S. dropped out of the top 20 for the first time since the 2012 inaugural list.
The Nordic countries, historically at the top, are getting happier while the U.S. is getting less happy. While GDP per capita is relatively similar across the Nordic countries, the U.S., Australia, and the UK, the distribution of wealth sets them apart.
“In these Nordic Scandinavian countries, a rising tide lifts all boats, so the levels of economic inequality are much less, and that reflects in well-being as well,” De Neve says. “In Finland, most people will rate themselves as seven or an eight, whereas if you look at the distribution of well-being in the States, there’s a lot of 10s out there, but there’s a lot of ones as well.”
While the rankings factored in a country’s GDP per capita, wealth distribution, and life expectancy, they found social trust and connection help determine happiness more than people may think.
This year, the researchers found a strong correlation between someone believing in the kindness of others and their own perceived happiness. Across the board, too often, people underestimate the kindness of others, like, say, if someone will return a lost wallet. It affects well-being. Wallets are returned to their owner at almost twice the rate people assume. However, compared to the U.S., more people in Nordic countries believe a lost wallet will be returned (and more people are likely to return it).
Maintaining a strong sense of community with acts such as regularly dining with others, for example, improves social trust and happiness, the report found. “The more you believe in the kindness of others, or in other words, are socially trusting, the higher your individual well-being and the higher collective well-being,” De Neve says. “The Nordic countries, the Scandinavian countries, do better, both in the belief in others’ kindness and in the actual wallet drop.”
As for Mexico and Costa Rica joining the top 10 for the first in the list’s history, De Neve points to the strength of the countries’ social fabrics. Latin American countries reported the highest number of shared meals and ranked high on social connectedness and trust. It helps explain why their rankings dipped more dramatically in the COVID-19 isolation years (De Neve says that 13 out of 14 meals shared across seven days correlated to the highest well-being measure).
“It is not because of high GDP and the highest life expectancy,” De Neve says about these two countries. “They do spend time dining and lunching with others, having friends, and it’s not all cannibalized by social media, and so we picked this up in the data.”
The report is published yearly by the Wellbeing Research Centre at the University of Oxford, alongside partners, including Gallup, the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network, and an editorial board that analyzes the findings pro bono.
As De Neve dug into why Finland kept its reign, something else came to light that helped them stand out even from their Nordic counterparts.
“They’re content with less,” he says. “They had less, and they’re more content with less. So they’re happier with what they’ve got.”
Here are the world’s 25 happiest countries
- Finland
- Denmark
- Iceland
- Sweden
- Netherlands
- Costa Rica
- Norway
- Israel
- Luxembourg
- Mexico
For more on happiness:
- Researchers have followed over 700 people since 1938 to find the keys to happiness. Here’s what they discovered
- Americans are proof that money can’t buy happiness, new report shows
- You can learn to be happier. This class can teach you how in just 1 week
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
Tech News
Fed soothes ‘Trumpcession’ fears by keeping two interest rate cuts on the table

- Fed Chair Jerome Powell repeated the word “uncertainty” when talking about the central bank’s economic outlook, using it at least 10 times. The Fed slightly lowered its growth projection and raised its forecast for inflation, but investors appeared more convinced the Fed is particularly attuned to concerns about growth.
Markets breathed a sigh of relief on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve kept rates steady as expected but signaled that two cuts remain on the table this year. Stocks jumped after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the economy remains strong, though he emphasized the central bank will adopt a wait-and-see approach when it comes to the economic agenda of President Donald Trump.
The day offered some solace to stocks, which have tumbled amid Trump’s on-again, off-again tariff threats and growing fears of a recession, as the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed up 1.1% and 1.4%, respectively. Both indexes had recently entered correction territory after dropping more than 10% from all-time highs in mid-February, wiping out gains from the market rally after Trump’s election win in November.
For the Fed, “uncertainty” was the word of the day, said Chris Diaz, a partner and co-head of the global taxable fixed income team at Baltimore, Maryland-based investment firm Brown Advisory, who noted Powell used the term at least 10 times.
Just as they had in December, Fed policymakers penciled in a median of two interest rate reductions in the famous “dot plot,” which shows where individual officials see rates headed. Eight of the 19 participants had rates unchanged or only being cut once, however, up from only four who maintained that hawkish posture at the end of last year. Nonetheless, Diaz said, investors appeared more convinced the Fed is particularly attuned to concerns about growth.
“That, for a riskier asset class [like] stocks, I think, is a much more welcome message than, ‘We’re not going to do anything, or maybe we’ll raise rates because we don’t know what’s going to happen to inflation,’” Diaz said.
Hedge fund and ETF manager Jay Hatfield, the CEO of Infrastructure Capital Advisors, said the market also reacted to the Fed’s announcement that it would slow the pace of so-called quantitative tightening, or the process of offloading assets from the central bank’s balance sheet. Many investors interpret that (wrongly, he argued) as a dovish signal, he said. In his press conference, Powell said the move was simply a response to increased tightness in money markets.
“This action has no implications for our intended stance of monetary policy and should not affect the size of our balance sheet over the medium term,” he said.
Fed expects slightly lower growth, higher inflation
Treasury bonds also rallied slightly despite the Fed confirming it would not lower the federal funds rate, which banks charge when lending to their peers overnight. The market is pricing in two to three cuts in 2025, according to the CME Group’s Fedwatch tool. If they do come to pass, however, investors will hope they are “good news” cuts enabled by easing inflation concerns and not an emergency response to a so-called “Trumpcession.”
Many investors believed the new administration would prioritize presumably pro-growth (and potentially inflationary) aspects of Trump’s agenda like tax cuts and deregulation. Instead, the new administration appears fixated on overhauling America’s trade relations, and the jury is out whether tariffs will ultimately reignite inflation or slow growth. Then there’s the worst-case scenario of “stagflation.”
Powell, meanwhile, suggested the broad economic impact of the mass government layoffs initiated by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency also remains unclear.
“As growth prospects falter and inflation remains sticky, we should expect investors to get more worried about stagflation,” Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for broker-dealer LPL Financial, wrote in a note after the Fed’s announcement.
Goldman Sachs recently downgraded its GDP growth projection to 1.7%, the first time the investment bank’s forecast has fallen below Wall Street’s consensus in 2 ½ years, while raising expectations for inflation.
Fed officials, meanwhile, also trimmed their growth projection to 1.7%, down from 2.1% in December, and raised the forecast of its preferred inflation metric from 2.5% to 2.7%—above the central bank’s 2% target.
Of course, not all market participants are celebrating the Fed’s decision. Hatfield believes the Fed has kept monetary policy overly tight amid what he sees as clear signs of economic weakness. He compared the Fed’s current hesitancy to cut rates to the central bank’s slow response when inflation hit four-decade highs in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has been heavily criticized.
But David Andolfatto, a former senior VP at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said the Fed faces an impossible task trying to please markets. Lambasting the Fed for being cautious amid tremendous uncertainty, he said, is like calling out a driver who chooses to take it slow on the roads during a fierce storm.
“You can’t see the potholes,” Andolfatto, who now chairs the University of Miami’s economics department, said Tuesday. “You got to slow down. You might turn right, you might turn left, you might make a mistake. But, I mean, you’re trying to do the best that you can given the lack of clarity in the storm.”
Investors are hoping the clouds will clear up soon.
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
Tech News
Jamie Dimon on tariffs, geopolitics—and the misery facing the bottom 20% of U.S. earners

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, the nation’s largest bank, says the economy is still in the soft landing phase, “but there’s a lot of turbulence out there.”
“Tariffs, they’ll definitely have pluses and minuses, you see consternation around the world,” Dimon said on Wednesday in a conversation with Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen at the tech company’s annual summit in Las Vegas. There’s also uncertainty about what going to happen with President Trump’s proposed tax plan, he said.
Dimon also expressed concern about geopolitics and the effects of the turbulence on the economy. “I personally think the most important thing happening in the world is what’s happening with Ukraine and Russia, and the Middle East. I know that’s about the future of a free democratic world.”
Regarding spending in the U.S., “consumers at the low end are basically spending down,” he said, explaining that that means saving money by taking actions like canceling a trip or going to a less expensive restaurant. “People at the high end, their money is down a lot, but they are a lot wealthier; think of homes and stock prices over the last 20 years,” he explained.
But Dimon also wanted to make an important point for all of the leaders in the audience: “The bottom 20% [of earners in the U.S.] didn’t get a pay raise for 25 years; they’re dying younger. Their schools aren’t good and they live in crime-ridden neighborhoods.”
Also speaking on the economy, Dimon said, “Hopefully inflation will come down.” He noted that the green economy and restructuring trade—“however it happens”—is going to cost money and “cause a little bit of inflation.”
He added, “There are a lot of inflationary forces.” But instead of just looking at the latest inflation report, he advised looking at the long-term trends, like IRAs and a lot of demand for capital. Dimon also thinks there’s going to be more military spending: “When I look at the world, I always try to look at the future facts.”
“I always hope for the best,” Dimon said to the audience—but he also gave this advice: “As a businessperson, plan for all potential outcomes.”
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
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