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Scott Bessent says the U.S. economy is detoxing but that doesn’t mean there will be a recession: ‘I’m not concerned about a little bit of volatility over three weeks’

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  • Trump’s tariffs sparked recession fears, tilted inflation outlooks higher, sent stocks tumbling, and dimmed consumer sentiment—but his administration claims to be focused on the long-term. 

The S&P 500 lost $5 trillion in value in only three weeks after entering correction territory on Thursday over concerns surrounding President Trump’s tariff threats. But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who was a hedge-fund chief prior to his political appointment, isn’t worried. 

“I’m not concerned about a little bit of volatility over three weeks,” Bessent told CNBC on Thursday. He’s focused on the long-term. 

Bessent previously warned of a “detox” for the economy —and he doubled down during his Thursday interview, claiming the economy was always going to have to transition. But when asked if that was a euphemism for a recession, Bessent said: “Not at all. It doesn’t have to be…Our goal is to have a smooth transition.” 

Still, Americans are concerned. Consumer sentiment dipped 11% this month, the University of Michigan’s latest sentiment survey released Friday revealed. That marks the third straight month sentiment has declined. Consumer sentiment is down 22% from December, the month after Trump was elected. 

The finance world mostly isn’t sold either, even after inflation cooled more than expected. Some economists suspect inflation could rise again once Trump’s tariffs have time to take effect. “The dizzying back-and-forth over tariffs is a large and unpredictable upside risk to the inflation outlook,” Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, told Fortune in a statement after the data was released on Wednesday. 

Investors are worried prolonged tariffs could fuel higher inflation while weighing on economic growth, which would result in stagflation, Evercore analysts wrote in a note earlier this month. JPMorgan economists also see higher inflation and slower growth resulting from Trump’s tariffs, according to a Wednesday research note. 

The reason economists argue tariffs push inflation higher is because when companies are forced to pay extra taxes, they tend to pass those higher costs on to consumers, which could result in decreased economic activity, or slower growth. 

Other economists and analysts are more worried the U.S. could fall into a recession. Trump’s “changing stance on tariffs has sparked anxiety across financial markets for some time,” George Vessey, lead macro strategist at Convera, said in an analysis earlier this week. “More recently, it has heightened concerns that policy uncertainty could push the U.S. economy into a recession.” 

Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers also said there was a real possibility of a recession. He blamed what he called on-again, off-again tariffs, and put the odds of a recession near 50%. 

But Bessent isn’t the only one in the Trump administration brushing off concerns over the economy, while choosing not to rule out a recession. When Vice President JD Vance was asked in a Thursday interview if he could rule out a recession, he replied: “You can never predict the future, but I think the fundamentals of the economy are quite strong right now, but we’ll see how this unfolds.” Vance, like Bessent, said the administration is focused on the long-haul. 

In an interview on Sunday, Trump also did not rule out a recession, but instead said there would be a “period of transition”—an omen for what would come to pass in the week ahead. As of Friday at the time of writing, the S&P 500 is down 8.17%, the Dow is down 7.20%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down 11.76%, all in the past month, despite a modest Friday rally. 

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

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The founder behind $3 billion beer giant Samuel Adams dropped out of Harvard because the school of life taught him more about entrepreneurialism

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Mark Zuckerberg isn’t the only entrepreneur who ditched Harvard in pursuit of something bigger. Samuel Adams founder Jim Koch built a $3 billion alcohol empire, but it wasn’t the Ivy League school that set him on that path. 

It was 1978, and Koch had just completed his second year of Harvard Business School’s JD/MBA program. He said the program allowed students to do law school and business school at the same time, and often led to a career as a corporate lawyer or working for a big company. But by the end of his second year, Koch was questioning if that path was truly for him.

“I’ve been going to school since I was five years old,” Koch said of the dilemma in an interview with Fortune.  “I’ve never really done anything in the real world and yet, I’m on this path leading me to a place I’m not sure I want to be.”

His push to explore the world and get hands-on experience ended up leading him on the path to founding Samuel Adams. But now looking back, Koch realized that one crucial skill he learned while building the company isn’t even found in a textbook at Harvard.

How to sell a company 

Koch’s path towards success didn’t start in the classroom. In fact, he said that the selling skills he learned aren’t even taught at Harvard. The Ivy League institution offers students courses in marketing, sales management, and business analytics, yet a course on basic selling tactics is nowhere to be found. 

“Selling is this really, really important skill that business schools don’t teach to this day,” Koch said.

It’s a skill he had to learn on the ground—literally. When Koch launched Samuel Adams in 1984, he couldn’t find a distributor who would agree to sell his beer. Which meant he had to sell it himself.

Armed with a family recipe and a dream, the then 34-year-old set out walking door-to-door with a briefcase of beer, hoping to convince bar owners and managers to stock the brew. In one briefcase, he could fit seven beers, two ice packs, and a sleeve of cups for sampling. Koch says he had “about a 5% success rate,” meaning for every 20 bars he visited, he’d open one new account. 

“If I didn’t go from bar to bar with the cold beer in my briefcase and get people to carry it, I was going to go broke really quickly,” he said.

The determination and door-knocking paid off: Samuel Adams launched with an investment of $140,000 and two employees before skyrocketing into a $3 billion business over the course of 40 years. The decades-old brand is staying modern too: Koch expanded his alcohol empire under the umbrella of Boston Beer Co. to include bar favorites like hard seltzer brand Truly, hard iced tea brand Twisted Tea, and hard cider brand Angry Orchard.

Now, four decades later, Koch is sharing his biggest business lessons, and wants entrepreneurs to understand the importance of one core function that may seem obvious: selling. 

“Nobody goes to college because they want to be a salesman,” he said. “It has a negative connotation.”

Citing pop culture classics like The World of Wall Street and Death of a Salesman, Koch explained that in pop culture, particularly among white-collar and educated workers, “salespeople are portrayed as kind of sleazy.”

“But what I learned is, done right, it’s a very noble activity,” he said, adding that exemplary salespeople demonstrate how their products can help consumers with their daily lives and goals. Conversely, salespeople shepherding “crappy,” non-beneficial products are “charlatans.” 

“People are too smart to be fooled like that,” he said. “So to me, selling is not only necessary but noble.”

Success is a mindset

Koch’s path to building his empire wasn’t just hard work, he says: humility was a key building block. He says it’s one of the best pieces of business advice he ever received—and it came from his grandmother before he departed for Harvard.

She reminded him: “Jim, remember humility is a virtue.”

Approaching business with humility and gratitude for the success that you already have will lead you to a happy and rewarding life, Koch said.

Overall, success didn’t come Koch’s way traditionally. The entrepreneur used hands-on training from running wilderness courses to become a leader, taught himself how to sell when Harvard didn’t, and kept his grandmother’s words on humility in his head as his success grew. 

Now, Koch helps pass on what he’s learned to entrepreneurs through his Brewing the American Dream program. 

“I believe that my job as a businessperson is to try to pay forward, share the wealth, however you want to say it, because at the end of the day if you’re the only person who benefits from your success, you’re not going to have much of it.”

The program helps entrepreneurs with two things Koch didn’t have access to when he started Samuel Adams: loan money and coaching and counseling advice. While partnering with the ACCION opportunity fund, the program makes loans to businesses that no bank is going to touch. Koch says they look at the passions of the entrepreneurs and the quality of their products.

He says the program has a repayment rate of about 98%. And since then 2008, they’ve made $110 million in loans to 4,300 companies, provided coaching and counseling to around 20,000 companies, and those companies have saved or created almost 12,000 jobs in their communities.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

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China is ‘laughing’ at the U.S. trade wars and has the most to gain from Trump’s ongoing European tariffs, top diplomat says

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  • EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas told Bloomberg that China is the country that stands to benefit the most from a trade war between the U.S. and EU. Her comments come as the EU imposed 50% tariffs on American whiskey in retaliation for U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

The only country benefiting from a trade war between the U.S. and the European Union is China, according to EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas.

Kallas, who until last year served as the first female prime minister of Estonia, said in an interview with Bloomberg that China is “laughing” at the tariff squabble.

“Who is laughing on the side or looking at the side is China,” Kallas told Bloomberg during a G7 meeting in Canada. “It’s really benefiting from the U.S. having a trade war with Europe.”

After the U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on any imported steel and aluminum, the EU struck back with a 50% tariff on American whiskey. In response, President Donald Trump threatened a 200% tariff on EU-imported alcohol like champagne and wine. 

On Thursday, Trump stood firm on his threat, telling reporters he will not reconsider upcoming tariffs that go into effect on April 2. He called on the EU to drop its tariffs on American whiskey or face reciprocal tariffs.

“I’m not going to bend at all,” he said.

Meanwhile, Kallas said the EU would also not back down from a tariff fight.

“We keep a cool head and of course we are ready to act and defend our interest when we need to,” she said.

A spokesperson for China’s foreign ministry, Mao Ning, said during a press conference Friday that she would not comment “on how the U.S. and Europer get along,” but China was not at issue. 

“There will be no winner from a trade war or tech war,” she added.

Canada also hit the U.S. with billions of dollars of reciprocal tariffs in retaliation for its steel and aluminum tariffs, an action Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick called “tone deaf.” 

The latest escalation between the U.S. and EU comes as the U.S. stock market fell into a correction Thursday, with the S&P 500 falling more than 10% below the all-time-high it hit just three weeks ago. Uncertainty about tariffs and the threat of a recession have spooked investors, and the Atlanta Fed now predicts the U.S. GDP will decline by 2.4% in the first quarter.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

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How Jump and Solana vets are building a hyper fast internet for blockchains

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High-frequency traders are the whiz kids of Wall Street. They either code scripts to execute quick trades to eke out small profits that, multiplied by one or ten thousand times over, result in serious cash. Or they’re able to act milliseconds faster than competitors to score big bets on market swings. Speed is paramount, which is why HFT traders have created their own private networks of internet cables—now, a crypto project called DoubleZero wants to do the same to speed up blockchains.

“We can use a whole different set of technologies that have basically been standard and de facto in the high-frequency trading world… but are not available over the public internet, so they’ve never been applied to blockchain before,” Austin Federa, cofounder of DoubleZero and a former executive at the Solana Foundation, told Fortune.

Federa’s project, which has the same obsession with speed as the firms in Michael Lewis’s famous HFT book Flash Boys, has already attracted capital. DoubleZero Foundation, one of the entities behind the project, announced in early March that it had raised $28 million in a seed round led by marquee crypto investors Multicoin Capital and Dragonfly Capital. Other venture capital firms that contributed were Foundation Capital, Reciprocal Ventures, DBA, Borderless Capital, Superscrypt, and Frictionless. In exchange for their cash, investors received token warrants, or promised allocations of a yet-to-be-launched cryptocurrency, Federa said. 

CoinDesk Solana or Ethereum are like Amazon Web Services or Google Cloud—but decentralized. 

And like any cloud computing network, blockchains have physical servers that process users’ transactions and run programmers’ apps. Currently, when servers that power the Solana blockchain, for example, need to communicate with each other, those signals run over public internet infrastructure, said Federa. DoubleZero aims to create a private network of cables to speed up a blockchain’s processing power.

Jump Crypto, the digital assets subsidiary of HFT firm Jump Trading, and Malbec Labs are the engineering entities behind DoubleZero. They won’t be laying down physical cables to construct the network, said Federa. Not yet, anyway. Rather, the company is cobbling together underutilized bandwidth from HFT firms, private companies, and even individuals to build out a faster physical network of cables than what is currently available for blockchains.

And to make sure that, just like a blockchain, this physical network is decentralized, Federa’s foundation plans to launch its own cryptocurrency to reward those who contribute bandwidth to the project.

Federa’s other cofounders are Mateo Ward and Andrew McConnell. Ward is the former CEO of Neutrona Networks, a portfolio company of Jump Trading that specialized in building private internet networks. And McConnell was a former top engineer at Jump.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

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